Market Outlook
September 28, 2017
Market Cues
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
Indian markets are likely to open in flat tracking global indices and SGX Nifty.
BSE Sensex
(1.4)
(440)
31,160
U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, with the Dow industrials ending a four-day losing
Nifty
(1.4)
(136)
9,736
streak and the small-cap Russell 2000 notching a record close as President Donald
Mid Cap
(2.0)
(308)
15,192
Trump and congressional Republicans touted a sweeping tax overhaul. The Dow
Jones rose 0.3%, to end at 22,341, erasing an earlier loss. The S&P 500 gained
Small Cap
(2.1)
(339)
15,797
0.4%, to close at 2,507, while NASDAQ moved up 1.2%, to 6,453.
Bankex
(1.7)
(454)
26,779
U.K. stocks finished higher for the first time this week on Wednesday, getting a boost
from a weaker pound and a rally for miners. The FTSE 100 UKX, climbed 0.4% to
Global Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
end at 7,314, breaking a two-day losing run.
Dow Jones
0.3
156
22,341
Nasdaq
1.1
73
6,453
On Domestic front share continues its downward trend amid concern over sagging
FTSE
0.4
28
7,314
growth. Senior BJP leader and former finance minister Yashwant Sinha slammed the
Nikkei
(00.2
46
20,313
government's handling of the economy and said growth will not improve by 2019
when the next national election is due. This Comment kept market under pressure
Hang Seng
(0.4)
(123)
27,519
for throughout the day. The rupee hit a fresh six-month low against the dollar
Shanghai Com
(0.2)
(6)
1
3,339
triggered by continued selling by foreign investors on fiscal deficit worries. The 30-
share BSE Sensex Plunged 1.4% to close at 31,160, The Nifty fell 1.4% to end at
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
9,736.
Advances
1,543
1,264
News Analysis
Declines
2,025
1,434
Airtel to invest `20,000cr this year in digital infrastructure
Unchanged
128
55
Detailed analysis is on Pg2
Volumes (` Cr)
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
BSE#
4,252
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
NSE
29,626
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
Refer Pg7 onwards
#Net Inflows (` Cr)
Net
Mtd
Ytd
FII
(1,656)
(2(6,640)
440,648
Top Picks
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Sector
Rating
MFs
1,300
410,393
179,280
(`)
(`)
(%)
Blue Star
Capital Goods Accumulate
748
850
13.7
Dewan Housing FinanceFinancials
Buy
526
610
16.0
Top Gainers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Asian Granito
Others
Buy
473
570
20.4
Denacem
192
4.0
Navkar Corporation
Others
Buy
183
265
45.0
Srtransfin
1,046
3.8
KEI Industries
Capital Goods
Buy
312
371
19.0
More Top Picks on Pg5
Prestige
273
2.5
Niittech
526
2.3
Key Upcoming Events
Polaris
226
1.8
Previous
Consensus
Date
Region
Event Description
Reading
Expectations
Sep 28, 2017 US
Initial Jobless claims
259.00
270.00
Top Losers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Sep 28, 2017 Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
(1.20)
(1.20)
Divislab
850
(11.6)
Sep 28, 2017 Germany Unemployment change (000's)
(5.00)
(5.00)
Siemens
1,219
(8.0)
Sep 29, 2017 US
GDP Qoq (Annualised)
3.00
3.00
Marksans
41
(6.3)
Sep 29, 2017 UK
GDP (YoY)
1.70
1.70
More Events on Pg7
Icil
96
(6.0)
Bfutilitie
391
(5.9)
#as on 27th Sep, 2017
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Market Outlook
September 28, 2017
News Analysis
Airtel to invest `20,000cr this year in digital infrastructure
Bharti Airtel will invest up to `20,000cr this year in digital infrastructure, the
company’s Chairma Mr Sunil Bharti Mittal has said. Speaking at the India mobile
congress, he advocated a collaborative approach to overcome challenges and
unleash the growth potential of the sector. He said the telecom industry is infusing
large amounts of money in strengthening its infrastructure and the total industry
will be injecting Rs 50-60,000 cr to build digital infrastructure. He also said Airtel
is rolling out massive multiple input multiple output (Mimo) technology and India
will be in step and head to head with what is happening globally. Post
commencement of Reliance Jio the industry has seen competition intensifying and
the financials of the telecom companies have been impacted to large extent. In
order to keep up with the competition Airtel is also venturing into expanding its
digital base.
Economic and Political News
GST impact: Car exports growth at 6-year low
Rupee slump on wave of grim economic news
FinMin, RBI meet likely to finalise borrowing calendar for second half
Corporate News
IDBI Bank sells 9% stake in SIDBI
GE Power India won an order worth `328cr from Doosan Power India
Power Grid begins commercial operations of Pole II of the Champa-
Kurukshetra HVDC Terminal
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Market Outlook
September 28, 2017
Top Picks
Market Cap
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Rationale
(` Cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
Strong growth in domestic business due to its leadership
in acute therapeutic segment. Alkem expects to launch
Alkem Laboratories
22,071
1,846
2,079
12.6
more products in USA, which bodes for its international
business.
We expect the company would report strong profitability
Asian Granito
1,424
473
570
20.4
owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and
amalgamation synergy.
Favorable outlook for the AC industry to augur well for
Cooling products business which is out pacing the
Blue Star
7,160
748
850
13.7
market growth. EMPPAC division's profitability to
improve once operating environment turns around.
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI)
consumer segment, the company has increased its
Dewan Housing Finance
16,490
526
610
16.0
presence in tier-II & III cities where the growth
opportunity is immense.
Loan growth is likely to pick up after a sluggish FY17.
Lower credit cost will help in strong bottom-line growth.
Karur Vysya Bank
8,669
143
180
25.5
Increasing share of CASA will help in NIM
improvement.
High order book execution in EPC segment, rising B2C
KEI Industries
2,425
312
371
19.0
sales and higher exports to boost the revenues and
profitability
Expected to benefit from the lower capex requirement
Music Broadcast
2,162
379
434
14.6
and 15 year long radio broadcast licensing.
Massive capacity expansion along with rail advantage
Navkar Corporation
2,605
183
265
45.0
at ICD as well CFS augurs well for the company
Strong brands and distribution network would boost
Siyaram Silk Mills
2,043
2,179
2,500
14.7
growth going ahead. Stock currently trades at an
inexpensive valuation.
Market leadership in Hindi news genre and no.
2
viewership ranking in English news genre, exit from the
TV Today Network
2,028
340
435
28.0
radio business, and anticipated growth in ad spends by
corporates to benefit the stock.
After GST, the company is expected to see higher
volumes along with improving product mix. The Gujarat
Maruti Suzuki
2,33,626
7,734
8,658
11.9
plant will also enable higher operating leverage which
will be margin accretive.
We expect loan book to grow at 24.3% over next two
GIC Housing
2,776
516
655
27.0
year; change in borrowing mix will help in NIM
improvement..
Source: Company, Angel Research
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www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 27, 2017
Key Upcoming Events
Global economic events release calendar
Bl oomberg Data
D ate
Time
C ountry
Event Description
Unit
Period
L ast Reporte d
E stimate d
Sep 28, 2017
6:00 PM US
Initial Jobless claims
Thousands
Sep 23
259.00
270.00
2:30 PM Euro Zone
Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
Value
Sep F
(1.20)
(1.20)
1:25 PM Germany
Unempl oyment change (000's)
Thousands
Sep
(5.00)
(5.00)
Sep 29, 2017
6:00 PM US
GDP Qoq (Annualise d)
% Change
2Q T
3.00
3.00
2:00 PM UK
GDP (YoY)
% Change
2Q F
1.70
1.70
Sep 30, 2017
2:00 PM UK
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Sep
56.90
Oct 02, 2017
6:30 AM China
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Sep
51.70
51.50
1:25 PM Germany
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Sep F
60.60
Oct 04, 2017
1:25 PM Germany
PMI Services
Value
Sep F
55.60
2:30 PM India
RBI Reverse Re po rate
%
Oct 4
5.75
2:30 PM India
RBI Repo rate
%
Oct 4
6.00
2:30 PM India
RBI Cash Reserve ratio
%
Oct 4
4.00
Oct 06, 2017
6:00 PM US
Change in N onfarm payrolls
Thousands
Sep
156.00
70.00
6:00 PM US
Unnemployment rate
%
Sep
4.40
4.40
Oct 10, 2017
India
Imports YoY%
% Change
Sep
21.00
India
Exports YoY%
% Change
Sep
10.30
2:00 PM UK
Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Aug
0.40
Oct 12, 2017
5:30 PM India
Industrial Production YoY
% Change
Aug
1.20
US
Producer Price Index (mom)
% Change
Sep
0.50
Oct 13, 2017
6:00 PM US
Consumer price index (mom)
% Change
Sep
0.40
0.50
China
Exports YoY%
% Change
Sep
5.60
Oct 16, 2017
12: 00 PM India
Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%
% Change
Sep
3.24
7:00 AM China
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
% Change
Sep
1.80
Oct 17, 2017
2:30 PM Euro Zone
Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)
%
Sep F
1.50
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 27, 2017
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
Exhibit 2: IIP trends
(%)
(%)
10.0
6.0
9.1
5.1
8.8
5.0
9.0
5.0
4.4
8.0
7.9
4.2
7.6
7.5
8.0
7.3
7.2
4.0
3.5
7.0
3.2
2.8
7.0
6.1
6.1
3.0
2.4
5.7
6.0
2.0
1.2
1.2
5.0
1.0
4.0
-
3.0
(1.0)
(0.2)
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: Monthly CPI inflation trends
Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI
56.0
Mfg. PMI
Services PMI
(%)
5.0
54.0
4.3
4.2
4.5
3.9
52.0
4.0
3.6
3.7
3.4
3.4
3.2
50.0
3.5
3.0
3.0
48.0
2.4
2.2
2.5
46.0
2.0
1.5
1.5
44.0
1.0
42.0
0.5
40.0
-
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends
Exhibit 6: Key policy rates
(%)
Exports yoy growth
Imports yoy growth
(%)
Repo rate
Reverse Repo rate
CRR
60.0
6.50
50.0
6.00
40.0
5.50
30.0
5.00
20.0
4.50
10.0
4.00
0.0
3.50
(10.0)
3.00
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Source: RBI, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 27, 2017
Global watch
Exhibit 1: Latest quarterly GDP Growth (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
8.0
6.9
7.0
5.8
6.0
5.3
5.0
5.0
1.1
3.7
4.0
2.5
3.0
2.2
1.7
1.7
2.0
1.4
0.8
1.0
0.3
-
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2017 GDP Growth projection by IMF (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
7.2
6.6
7.0
6.0
5.1
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.0
1.4
1.6
2.0
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.8
1.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: One year forward P-E ratio across select developing and developed countries
(x)
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research, data as of 27th Sept-17
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 27, 2017
Exhibit 4: Relative performance of indices across globe
Returns (%)
C ountry
Name of index
Closing price
1M
3M
1YR
Brazil
Bovespa
73,797
3.8
19.0
25.7
Russia
Micex
2,081
4.7
10.6
4.3
India
Nifty
9,736
(1.8)
2.4
10.2
China
Shanghai Composite
3,345
(0.8)
4.6
10.5
South Africa
Top 40
49,018
(2.3)
8.2
7.9
Mexico
Mexbol
50,169
(2.1)
2.0
5.2
Indonesia
LQ45
976
(1.3)
1.2
8.9
Malaysia
KLCI
1,764
(0.6)
(0.6)
6.8
Thailand
SET 50
1,070
5.9
7.3
12.9
USA
Dow Jones
22,341
2.4
4.8
21.8
UK
FTSE
7,314
(1.2)
(1.0)
5.7
Japan
Nikkei
20,267
4.2
0.6
22.9
Germany
DAX
12,657
4.4
1.9
19.2
France
CAC
5,282
4.0
2.5
17.6
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research, data as of 27th Sept-17 p68in4
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Stock Watch
September 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis
Neutral
207
-
4,032
1,873
2,099
15.0
15.0
9.5
10.5
21.8
19.8
3.3
3.0
15.8
16.0
2.0
1.9
United Phosphorus
Accumulate
771
820
39,172
18,922
21,949
18.0
18.5
36.2
45.6
21.3
16.9
4.5
3.7
22.7
23.8
2.2
1.9
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Ashok Leyland
Accumulate
112
127
32,821
23,339
27,240
10.1
10.8
4.7
6.2
24.1
18.0
4.8
4.3
20.0
23.6
1.4
1.1
Bajaj Auto
Neutral
3,028
-
87,615
23,936
27,955
19.5
20.1
142.7
167.3
21.2
18.1
4.6
4.1
21.8
22.8
3.3
2.7
Bharat Forge
Neutral
1,216
-
28,315
7,637
8,755
21.7
23.2
36.1
47.3
33.7
25.7
6.0
5.2
18.5
20.8
3.6
3.0
Eicher Motors
Neutral
30,470
-
82,948
19,043
22,837
19.5
19.9
835.4
1,019.0
36.5
29.9
13.6
10.5
40.9
37.8
4.2
3.5
Gabriel India
Neutral
200
-
2,877
1,782
2,033
9.7
10.2
7.1
8.9
28.2
22.6
5.7
4.8
21.0
22.2
1.6
1.4
Hero Motocorp
Accumulate
3,732
4,129
74,535
32,239
36,878
16.0
15.6
184.4
206.5
20.2
18.1
6.4
5.6
31.3
30.7
2.1
1.8
Jamna Auto Industries Neutral
251
-
1,999
1,441
1,662
14.4
14.8
13.9
17.6
18.0
14.3
4.9
4.0
30.0
31.0
1.4
1.2
Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral
1,231
-
76,460
46,971
53,816
13.6
14.0
67.7
79.8
18.2
15.4
2.6
2.3
15.0
15.9
1.5
1.3
Maruti
Accumulate
7,734
8,658
233,626
81,825
101,245
15.0
15.0
283.5
356.0
27.3
21.7
6.0
4.9
21.9
22.4
2.5
2.0
Minda Industries
Neutral
822
-
7,104
4,328
5,084
11.0
11.9
27.3
36.4
30.2
22.6
6.4
5.0
23.1
25.6
1.7
1.5
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
332
-
69,934
55,937
64,445
10.8
11.4
16.9
21.1
19.7
15.8
4.4
4.5
25.2
25.4
1.3
1.1
Tata Motors
Neutral
404
-
116,620
303,167
343,649
11.8
13.8
33.1
54.7
12.2
7.4
2.0
1.6
16.9
23.0
0.4
0.4
TVS Motor
Neutral
645
-
30,624
13,992
16,216
9.0
9.4
17.1
20.3
37.8
31.8
10.0
7.8
29.7
27.7
2.1
1.8
Amara Raja Batteries
Buy
711
858
12,150
6,140
7,122
14.3
15.6
29.3
39.0
24.3
18.2
4.1
3.5
17.1
19.0
2.0
1.7
Exide Industries
Neutral
203
-
17,242
8,689
9,854
15.1
15.2
9.7
11.0
21.0
18.4
3.7
3.3
15.7
16.1
1.7
1.5
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
242
-
12,318
15,739
17,326
13.3
14.6
20.4
26.7
11.9
9.1
1.4
1.3
20.4
26.7
1.0
0.9
Ceat
Neutral
1,670
-
6,754
6,661
7,717
11.1
14.2
116.2
178.2
14.4
9.4
2.5
2.1
15.2
21.3
1.1
1.0
JK Tyres
Neutral
143
-
3,243
8,318
9,239
16.2
16.4
21.0
27.5
6.8
5.2
1.3
1.1
19.1
20.4
0.8
0.7
Swaraj Engines
Neutral
1,981
-
2,461
788
889
16.4
16.5
71.6
81.0
27.7
24.5
8.0
7.4
29.6
31.0
2.8
2.4
Subros
Neutral
225
-
1,350
1,855
2,135
11.6
11.8
10.3
14.7
22.0
15.4
3.3
2.9
15.8
19.1
0.9
0.8
Capital Goods
BEML
Neutral
1,643
-
6,841
4,286
5,194
7.1
8.2
42.9
58.1
38.3
28.3
3.1
2.9
7.6
8.7
1.7
1.3
Bharat Electronics
Neutral
177
-
39,613
10,258
12,470
19.6
19.5
7.3
8.6
24.3
20.6
0.5
0.4
20.4
21.9
3.4
2.7
Voltas
Neutral
511
-
16,903
6,778
8,004
9.6
11.0
17.1
22.4
29.9
22.8
7.1
6.3
17.7
19.8
2.2
1.8
BHEL
Neutral
125
-
30,497
33,200
39,167
6.8
9.5
6.2
11.2
20.1
11.1
0.9
0.9
4.6
8.0
0.5
0.4
Blue Star
Accumulate
748
850
7,160
5,220
6,207
6.3
6.6
16.8
22.3
44.5
33.6
8.8
7.8
19.9
23.3
1.3
1.1
CG Power and Industrial
Neutral
76
-
4,779
6,555
7,292
7.5
7.5
-
0.8
7,625.0
95.3
1.2
1.2
0.1
1.2
0.8
0.7
Solutions
Greaves Cotton
Neutral
135
-
3,308
1,778
1,993
14.7
15.1
8.1
9.1
16.7
14.9
3.8
3.5
21.8
23.6
1.6
1.4
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Stock Watch
September 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Capital Goods
KEC International
Buy
301
350
7,733
9,779
11,113
9.4
9.8
14.2
18.2
21.2
16.5
4.1
3.3
21.1
22.1
1.0
0.9
KEI Industries
Buy
312
371
2,425
3,001
3,391
10.0
10.0
13.0
16.1
24.0
19.3
4.4
3.6
18.2
18.7
1.0
0.9
Thermax
Neutral
881
-
10,499
4,125
4,747
10.3
10.8
26.7
31.5
33.0
28.0
3.7
3.4
11.2
12.0
2.3
2.0
VATech Wabag
Accumulate
599
681
3,269
3,867
4,126
9.6
10.0
34.9
39.8
17.2
15.0
2.8
2.4
17.7
17.5
0.9
0.8
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,592
-
29,904
12,255
13,350
13.5
14.3
58.0
66.2
27.5
24.1
3.3
3.0
11.5
12.2
2.4
2.2
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
262
-
51,954
10,250
11,450
17.5
19.0
7.2
8.3
36.3
31.5
2.6
2.5
7.0
7.8
4.8
4.3
India Cements
Neutral
166
-
5,103
6,135
6,750
14.8
15.2
8.5
11.5
19.5
14.4
1.0
0.9
4.8
6.2
1.2
1.0
JK Cement
Neutral
963
-
6,736
4,150
4,775
19.2
20.0
49.0
63.5
19.7
15.2
3.1
2.7
17.0
18.5
2.1
1.8
J K Lakshmi Cement
Neutral
386
-
4,539
3,422
3,757
15.5
17.0
13.5
23.2
28.6
16.6
3.0
2.6
10.8
15.5
1.7
1.5
Orient Cement
Neutral
152
-
3,113
2,215
3,233
16.8
17.0
5.9
6.9
25.8
22.0
2.0
1.8
10.8
10.1
2.4
1.6
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
3,799
-
104,286
28,250
35,150
20.2
23.5
77.5
122.2
49.0
31.1
4.1
3.7
9.6
14.8
4.2
3.3
Construction
KNR Constructions
Neutral
205
-
2,878
1,846
2,203
14.5
14.5
12.1
13.7
16.9
15.0
0.9
0.8
17.5
16.7
1.6
1.3
Larsen & Toubro
Neutral
1,139
-
159,529
95,787
109,476
10.2
11.6
44.5
50.8
25.6
22.4
3.2
3.0
12.9
13.1
2.2
2.0
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Neutral
135
-
6,534
739
842
61.6
62.7
5.1
6.2
26.5
22.0
3.3
3.2
12.7
14.9
8.3
7.2
PNC Infratech
Accumulate
136
143
3,481
2,040
2,935
13.0
13.0
6.4
9.0
21.2
15.1
0.6
0.5
9.7
12.2
1.7
1.2
Simplex Infra
Neutral
441
-
2,182
6,012
6,619
11.6
11.7
21.1
31.0
21.0
14.3
1.5
1.3
6.5
8.6
0.9
0.8
Sadbhav Engineering
Neutral
285
-
4,891
3,823
4,426
10.7
10.8
10.3
11.8
27.7
24.2
3.3
2.9
10.1
10.5
1.6
1.4
NBCC
Neutral
208
-
18,675
9,099
12,706
6.4
6.4
7.3
9.6
28.5
21.7
1.3
1.0
27.5
30.5
1.9
1.4
MEP Infra
Neutral
91
-
1,474
2,403
2,910
18.3
16.8
2.4
6.1
38.5
14.9
14.6
9.9
35.2
55.8
1.8
1.5
SIPL
Neutral
90
-
3,175
2,060
2,390
46.8
47.7
(5.8)
(3.1)
3.4
3.9
(14.2)
(2.3)
6.3
5.9
Engineers India
Neutral
151
-
10,159
1,795
2,611
21.1
22.4
5.9
8.1
25.6
18.6
1.8
1.8
12.9
16.1
4.0
2.6
Financials
Axis Bank
Accumulate
506
580
121,198
32,558
35,843
3.5
3.2
27.8
41.0
18.2
12.3
2.0
1.7
11.4
14.9
-
-
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
139
-
31,936
22,533
26,079
2.4
2.4
12.0
20.9
11.5
6.6
0.8
0.7
6.6
11.0
-
-
Canara Bank
Neutral
315
-
18,839
17,925
20,235
2.0
2.1
18.5
36.5
17.1
8.6
0.6
0.6
3.4
6.2
-
-
Can Fin Homes
Neutral
2,600
-
6,920
586
741
3.5
3.5
107.8
141.0
24.1
18.4
5.3
4.3
24.1
25.6
-
-
Cholamandalam Inv. &
Buy
1,059
1,230
16,549
2,826
3,307
6.3
6.3
53.7
64.6
19.7
16.4
3.4
2.9
18.3
18.9
-
-
Fin. Co.
Dewan Housing Finance Buy
526
610
16,490
2,676
3,383
2.4
2.7
37.4
49.7
14.1
10.6
1.8
1.6
13.8
16.2
-
-
Equitas Holdings
Buy
155
235
5,251
1,125
1,380
9.6
9.8
1.5
6.0
103.3
25.8
2.4
2.2
2.4
8.2
-
-
Federal Bank
Accumulate
111
125
21,535
4,896
5,930
2.8
3.1
5.4
7.6
20.6
14.6
1.8
1.6
8.5
11.0
-
-
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Financials
GIC Housing
Buy
516
655
2,776
376
477
3.6
3.7
33.0
40.0
15.6
12.9
2.8
2.4
20.0
23.0
-
-
HDFC Bank
Neutral
1,776
-
458,365
55,236
63,253
4.5
4.4
68.9
82.4
25.8
21.5
4.5
3.7
18.7
18.5
-
-
ICICI Bank
Accumulate
276
315
177,246
42,361
51,378
3.6
3.9
18.4
25.7
15.0
10.7
1.6
1.6
11.3
15.0
-
-
Karur Vysya Bank
Buy
143
180
8,669
3,289
3,630
3.7
3.9
10.8
14.1
13.2
10.2
1.6
1.4
12.5
14.7
-
-
LIC Housing Finance
Neutral
607
-
30,618
4,895
6,332
3.4
3.7
50.7
66.8
12.0
9.1
2.4
2.0
21.7
23.8
-
-
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
133
-
28,259
23,708
25,758
2.1
2.1
5.9
16.4
22.6
8.1
0.7
0.6
3.0
8.3
-
-
RBL Bank
Neutral
501
-
20,694
2,309
2,888
2.6
2.5
16.4
19.1
30.6
26.3
3.8
3.4
13.3
13.8
-
-
Repco Home Finance
Buy
601
825
3,758
496
597
4.4
4.2
38.5
48.7
15.6
12.3
2.8
2.3
19.6
20.6
-
-
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
28
-
5,034
3,195
3,567
3.0
3.1
3.0
3.8
9.2
7.3
0.9
0.8
10.5
11.9
-
-
St Bk of India
Neutral
250
-
216,190
105,827
121,056
2.4
2.5
16.1
25.6
15.6
9.8
1.2
1.1
6.6
9.9
-
-
Union Bank
Neutral
127
-
9,189
14,650
16,225
2.3
2.3
23.1
32.5
5.5
3.9
0.4
0.4
7.1
9.2
-
-
Yes Bank
Neutral
353
-
80,922
11,088
13,138
3.0
2.9
84.0
99.3
4.2
3.6
0.6
0.6
16.3
16.8
-
-
FMCG
Akzo Nobel India
Neutral
1,794
-
8,602
3,164
3,607
13.8
13.7
58.6
67.9
30.6
26.4
7.5
6.6
24.5
25.1
2.6
2.2
Asian Paints
Neutral
1,161
-
111,363
17,603
20,615
18.6
18.6
2,128.9
2,543.3
0.6
0.5
11.5
9.7
28.0
28.9
6.1
5.2
Britannia
Neutral
4,293
-
51,538
9,690
11,278
14.8
15.4
84.0
101.0
51.1
42.5
18.6
14.8
40.6
39.0
5.3
4.5
Colgate
Neutral
1,062
-
28,875
4,420
5,074
24.9
25.3
28.6
32.8
37.1
32.4
14.6
11.8
43.8
40.5
6.3
5.4
Dabur India
Neutral
306
-
53,832
8,346
9,344
19.6
19.9
7.8
9.0
39.2
34.0
7.9
7.1
25.2
24.8
6.1
5.3
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
4,923
-
20,704
5,072
5,760
18.2
18.4
176.3
199.2
27.9
24.7
5.9
5.4
21.2
21.7
3.4
2.9
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
908
-
61,858
10,171
11,682
20.8
21.5
21.7
27.1
41.8
33.5
9.4
8.1
22.3
23.4
6.2
5.3
HUL
Neutral
1,207
-
261,252
37,077
41,508
20.3
21.8
5,189.9
6,318.5
0.2
0.2
36.8
31.4
74.8
82.0
6.9
6.2
ITC
Neutral
259
-
314,983
44,588
49,853
37.0
37.3
9.6
11.0
26.9
23.5
6.6
6.3
25.1
27.3
6.5
5.8
Marico
Neutral
314
-
40,501
6,788
7,766
18.5
19.2
7.1
8.5
44.2
36.9
15.5
13.2
36.9
38.0
5.8
5.1
Nestle*
Neutral
7,100
-
68,457
10,083
11,182
20.0
20.9
119.7
141.3
59.3
50.3
209.1
191.1
36.7
39.8
6.5
5.8
Tata Global
Neutral
199
-
12,534
7,121
7,641
11.9
12.3
6.9
8.0
28.8
24.8
1.9
1.8
6.8
7.2
1.6
1.4
Procter & Gamble
Neutral
8,400
-
27,267
3,034
3,579
27.1
27.7
167.7
198.8
50.1
42.3
13.4
11.6
28.8
29.5
8.4
7.0
Hygiene
IT
HCL Tech^
Buy
875
1,014
124,840
52,342
57,053
20.9
20.9
62.8
67.6
13.9
12.9
3.1
2.7
22.4
20.6
2.1
1.8
Infosys
Buy
899
1,179
206,417
73,963
80,619
26.0
26.0
64.4
69.3
14.0
13.0
2.8
2.5
19.7
19.6
2.2
2.0
TCS
Accumulate
2,490
2,651
490,666
127,403
138,870
27.6
27.6
144.5
156.0
17.2
16.0
5.1
4.8
29.7
29.8
3.5
3.2
Tech Mahindra
Buy
450
533
43,906
31,015
33,496
15.0
15.0
35.6
38.1
12.6
11.8
2.2
2.0
17.0
16.3
1.2
1.0
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
IT
Wipro
Neutral
289
-
140,453
58,536
61,858
20.3
20.3
18.2
19.1
15.9
15.1
2.5
2.1
14.6
13.4
2.3
2.2
Media
D B Corp
Neutral
372
-
6,850
2,404
2,625
30.5
31.5
23.7
26.9
15.7
13.8
3.7
3.2
23.5
22.8
2.7
2.4
HT Media
Neutral
93
-
2,167
2,589
2,830
15.1
15.4
8.3
10.9
11.2
8.5
0.9
0.8
8.4
10.4
0.4
0.3
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
177
225
5,775
2,541
2,835
28.5
28.7
12.7
14.1
13.9
12.5
2.9
2.5
21.3
21.4
2.1
1.8
Sun TV Network
Neutral
745
-
29,367
3,238
3,789
51.9
55.1
30.9
38.0
24.1
19.6
6.9
6.0
30.0
31.0
8.6
7.2
Hindustan Media
Neutral
255
-
1,868
1,002
1,074
23.3
23.5
29.2
33.8
8.7
7.5
1.4
1.2
15.6
15.4
0.9
0.6
Ventures
TV Today Network
Buy
340
435
2,028
667
727
27.7
27.7
18.6
20.1
18.3
17.0
2.8
2.9
15.6
17.3
2.6
2.4
Music Broadcast Limited Accumulate
379
434
2,162
271
317
91.0
109.0
6.0
10.0
63.1
37.9
3.9
3.6
6.5
9.3
7.6
6.2
Metals & Mining
Coal India
Neutral
261
-
161,982
82,301
91,235
17.0
18.0
17.1
20.5
15.3
12.7
2.9
2.7
45.0
55.0
1.6
1.5
Hind. Zinc
Neutral
293
-
123,760
22,108
24,555
57.0
58.0
22.1
26.3
13.3
11.1
4.3
3.5
32.0
35.0
4.6
3.8
Hindalco
Neutral
233
-
52,366
102,350
105,355
13.5
14.5
21.5
24.5
10.9
9.5
1.5
1.3
15.0
15.2
1.1
1.0
JSW Steel
Neutral
237
-
57,240
64,500
68,245
21.1
21.5
20.1
21.2
11.8
11.2
2.2
1.9
-
-
1.6
1.5
NMDC
Neutral
118
-
37,413
10,209
11,450
47.0
48.0
11.1
12.1
10.7
9.8
1.5
1.4
-
-
3.2
2.9
SAIL
Neutral
54
-
22,406
54,100
63,555
3.0
10.0
(10.0)
1.5
36.2
0.7
0.7
-
-
1.4
1.2
Vedanta
Neutral
310
-
115,363
81,206
87,345
28.0
29.0
26.5
33.5
11.7
9.3
2.7
2.3
-
-
2.2
1.9
Tata Steel
Neutral
648
-
62,969
121,445
126,500
16.2
17.2
65.4
81.3
9.9
8.0
1.6
1.3
-
-
1.0
0.9
Oil & Gas
GAIL
Neutral
398
-
67,382
53,115
52,344
14.2
15.3
30.0
31.1
13.3
12.8
1.7
1.5
-
-
1.0
1.0
ONGC
Neutral
170
-
218,422
83,111
84,934
44.2
44.9
16.4
16.9
10.4
10.1
1.3
1.2
-
-
2.5
2.5
Indian Oil Corp
Neutral
396
-
192,124
396,116
432,560
8.5
8.8
40.1
42.2
9.9
9.4
1.7
1.5
-
-
0.6
0.6
Reliance Industries
Neutral
799
-
519,394
257,711
267,438
17.0
18.2
89.1
89.5
9.0
8.9
0.8
0.8
-
-
1.7
1.6
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma
Buy
498
600
9,381
3,903
4,584
18.2
19.2
21.8
27.2
22.8
18.3
4.2
3.5
19.8
20.6
2.4
2.1
Alkem Laboratories Ltd
Accumulate
1,846
2,079
22,071
6,320
7,341
17.5
19.8
72.7
96.6
25.4
19.1
4.5
3.8
16.7
18.7
3.4
2.9
Aurobindo Pharma
Buy
690
823
40,400
17,086
19,478
22.1
22.0
44.7
51.4
15.4
13.4
3.4
2.8
24.7
22.7
2.5
2.2
Aventis*
Neutral
4,040
-
9,305
2,508
2,862
16.8
16.8
139.9
153.8
28.9
26.3
4.2
3.4
23.5
25.8
3.3
2.7
Cadila Healthcare
Reduce
454
426
46,473
11,584
13,228
20.3
20.4
18.7
21.3
24.3
21.3
5.4
4.4
24.6
22.9
3.8
3.3
Cipla
Sell
570
458
45,851
16,619
19,437
15.4
16.2
19.7
24.3
28.9
23.5
3.3
2.9
12.0
13.2
2.9
2.5
Dr Reddy's
Neutral
2,308
-
38,257
15,844
17,973
17.6
18.2
91.7
111.0
25.2
20.8
2.9
2.6
11.9
13.0
2.6
2.3
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,394
-
20,276
3,260
3,651
15.0
18.0
46.1
58.6
51.9
40.9
10.7
11.0
20.0
26.5
6.1
5.6
Indoco Remedies
Sell
205
153
1,889
1,154
1,310
14.9
14.9
11.3
12.7
18.1
16.1
2.6
2.3
15.0
15.0
1.8
1.5
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Pharmaceuticals
Ipca labs
Accumulate
497
540
6,272
3,593
4,022
14.5
15.5
19.4
25.2
25.6
19.7
2.3
2.1
9.5
11.2
1.8
1.6
Lupin
Buy
998
1,467
45,105
18,657
21,289
21.3
23.3
52.8
66.7
18.9
15.0
2.9
2.4
16.3
17.5
2.4
2.0
Natco Pharma
Neutral
769
-
13,412
1,836
1,946
31.8
28.9
22.1
20.6
34.8
37.3
7.0
6.2
20.1
16.7
7.2
6.7
Sun Pharma
Accumulate
495
558
118,751
32,899
36,451
26.9
25.4
31.6
32.3
15.7
15.3
2.8
2.4
18.7
18.8
3.2
2.8
Syngene International
Accumulate
489
557
9,772
1,402
1,823
32.8
36.0
15.9
20.7
30.8
23.7
5.7
4.7
18.7
20.0
6.9
5.3
Power
Tata Power
Neutral
78
-
21,138
32,547
33,806
20.5
20.5
4.7
5.4
16.6
14.6
1.6
1.4
10.5
10.5
1.6
1.6
NTPC
Neutral
165
-
136,009
86,070
101,246
28.3
30.7
12.9
16.2
12.8
10.2
1.3
1.2
10.6
12.4
2.9
2.6
Power Grid
Accumulate
207
223
108,529
29,183
32,946
89.7
90.0
18.0
20.8
11.6
10.0
1.9
1.7
17.7
18.2
7.7
7.1
Real Estate
Prestige Estate
Neutral
267
-
10,014
4,607
5,146
21.0
22.2
7.9
9.8
33.8
27.3
2.1
1.9
10.3
12.0
3.3
3.0
MLIFE
Accumulate
468
522
2,399
487
590
12.3
17.8
21.0
31.2
22.3
15.0
1.2
1.1
5.2
7.4
3.6
3.0
Telecom
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
385
-
154,040
97,903
105,233
36.0
36.3
9.3
11.1
41.4
34.9
2.0
1.9
5.0
5.6
2.5
2.3
Idea Cellular
Neutral
75
-
27,196
35,012
37,689
27.1
27.7
(4.4)
(2.7)
1.2
1.2
(6.8)
(4.6)
2.1
1.9
zOthers
Abbott India
Neutral
4,167
-
8,854
3,244
3,723
14.9
16.1
167.5
209.4
24.9
19.9
5.5
4.6
23.7
24.8
2.4
2.0
Asian Granito
Buy
473
570
1,424
1,169
1,286
12.5
12.5
16.0
19.7
29.6
24.0
3.2
2.8
10.7
11.6
1.5
1.3
Bajaj Electricals
Accumulate
355
395
3,608
4,646
5,301
6.7
7.6
16.1
22.3
22.1
15.9
3.6
3.1
16.4
19.2
0.8
0.7
Banco Products (India)
Neutral
205
-
1,469
1,530
1,695
13.2
12.7
19.0
20.0
10.8
10.3
1.7
1.5
0.2
0.2
0.9
96.4
Coffee Day Enterprises
Neutral
211
-
4,355
3,494
3,913
17.4
18.0
4.8
5.7
-
37.1
1.9
1.8
-
0.1
1.7
1.5
Ltd
Elecon Engineering
Neutral
52
-
584
171
201
15.0
16.2
36.0
43.0
1.5
1.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.8
2.4
Garware Wall Ropes
Neutral
852
-
1,864
928
1,003
15.2
15.2
39.4
43.2
21.6
19.7
3.6
3.0
16.5
15.4
1.9
1.7
Goodyear India*
Neutral
806
-
1,860
1,717
1,866
11.8
12.3
47.9
49.8
16.8
16.2
2.6
2.3
15.6
15.7
0.8
111.4
Hitachi
Neutral
1,854
-
5,042
2,355
2,715
10.3
10.8
49.0
60.9
37.8
30.5
8.9
7.0
0.2
0.2
2.2
1.9
HSIL
Neutral
387
-
2,795
2,240
2,670
14.6
15.0
17.0
22.0
22.7
17.6
1.9
1.8
0.1
0.1
1.5
1.2
Interglobe Aviation
Neutral
1,057
-
38,230
22,570
27,955
14.2
15.0
63.6
81.8
16.6
12.9
8.8
7.4
0.5
0.6
1.4
1.0
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
383
-
6,962
1,781
2,044
14.1
15.0
9.4
10.5
41.0
36.5
8.7
8.2
0.2
0.2
4.1
3.5
Linc Pen & Plastics
Neutral
226
-
335
420
462
9.3
9.3
15.3
17.1
14.8
13.2
2.5
2.6
16.9
19.5
0.9
0.8
M M Forgings
Neutral
617
-
745
542
642
20.1
21.0
41.6
56.8
14.8
10.9
2.0
1.7
0.1
0.2
1.8
1.6
Mirza International
Neutral
156
-
1,877
1,148
1,285
18.0
18.0
8.0
9.4
19.4
16.7
3.2
2.7
16.3
16.1
1.8
1.6
Navkar Corporation
Buy
183
265
2,605
561
617
41.5
41.5
11.5
12.7
15.9
14.4
1.7
1.5
10.5
10.4
5.3
4.6
Nilkamal
Neutral
1,548
-
2,310
2,317
2,525
11.4
11.1
96.0
105.0
16.1
14.7
2.7
2.4
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.9
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 28, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E
zOthers
Parag Milk Foods
Neutral
236
-
1,982
1,987
2,379
7.6
9.0
12.4
18.3
19.0
12.9
2.7
2.3
8.2
13.2
1.1
0.9
Radico Khaitan
Neutral
154
-
2,044
1,811
1,992
13.2
13.2
8.1
8.8
19.0
17.4
1.9
2.1
10.1
12.0
1.5
1.3
Relaxo Footwears
Neutral
494
-
5,929
1,981
2,310
13.7
14.5
12.0
15.5
41.1
31.8
8.0
6.5
0.2
0.2
3.1
2.6
Siyaram Silk Mills
Accumulate
2,179
2,500
2,043
1,769
1,981
12.7
12.7
113.1
131.1
19.3
16.6
3.0
2.6
15.5
15.5
1.3
1.2
Styrolution ABS India* Neutral
846
-
1,488
1,800
1,980
8.0
8.1
42.0
46.2
20.1
18.3
2.3
2.0
0.1
0.1
0.9
0.9
Surya Roshni
Neutral
292
-
1,279
4,870
5,320
7.7
7.8
22.8
28.1
12.8
10.4
1.7
1.5
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.4
TVS Srichakra
Neutral
3,114
-
2,385
2,729
2,893
12.7
12.5
248.5
265.0
12.5
11.8
3.6
2.9
0.3
0.3
0.9
0.8
Visaka Industries
Neutral
580
-
921
1,104
1,214
12.1
12.6
31.0
37.9
18.7
15.3
2.3
2.0
0.1
0.1
1.1
0.9
VIP Industries
Buy
241
300
3,402
1,450
1,693
10.4
10.5
6.5
7.8
36.8
30.8
7.8
6.8
21.1
22.1
2.3
2.0
Navin Fluorine
Accumulate
659
730
3,248
945
1,154
22.4
22.6
28.7
34.8
23.0
19.0
3.8
3.3
-
-
3.0
2.3
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on September 27, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 28, 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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